Correlation isn't causation.  I've seen no evidence that the SBVT lies have been responsible for any changes we've seen in the polls.  On the other hand, the only evidence we do have, which you dismiss seemingly without reason, points to the idea that the SBVT lies have not been the cause of the changes we've seen.

Let's be realistic, and acknowledge that the polls have closed.  But let's also be realistic and acknowledge that the evidence we have doesn't point to the SBVT'ers being the cause.